Table of Contents

Session 1 The Effect of the Uncertainties in Natural Hazard Prediction on the User Communities.- A Non-Structural Policy for the Mitigation of Flood Effects: The Arno Project.- The Impact of Structural Damage due to Hurricanes and the Prospects for Disaster Reduction.- The Social Dimensions of Warning and the Transition from Folk Wisdom to Laymanship.- Natural Hazard Predictions and Responses in Very Large Cities.- The Effect of the Uncertainties in Natural Hazard Prediction on the User Communities.- Uncertainties in Natural Hazards Prediction and its Effect on User Communities Perception: Soviet Union Case Study.- Session 2 Uncertainties in the Development of Predictions of Large Scale Atmospheric Phenomena: Droughts, Tornadoes and Hurricanes.- Uncertainties in the Development of Predictions of Large Scale Atmospheric Phenomena, Droughts, Tornadoes and Hurricanes.- Empirical Studies of Public Response to Tornado and Hurricane Warnings in the United States.- The Role of Technical Hazard and Forecast Information in Preparedness for and Response to the Hurricane Hazard in the United States.- Session 3 Uncertainties in the Development of Predictions of Floods and Landslides.- Some Remarks on Scientific Activity of Flood Prediction in Italy.- Landslides as Polycausal Phenomena.- Uncertainty in Evaluating Landslide Hazard and Risk.- The River Danube Flood of 27 March 1988.- A Summary of the State of the Art in Flash Flood Warning Systems in the United States.- Spatial Prediction of Landslides.- Session 4 Uncertainties in the Development of Predictions of Earthquakes and Volcanoes.- Earthquake Prediction from the Viewpoint of Earthquake Engineering.- Communicating Public Earthquake Risk Information.- Uncertainties in the Estimate of Strong Ground Motion in the Surroundings ofa Large Earthquake.- Risk Area Residents’ Changing Perceptions of Volcano Hazard at Mt. St. Helens.- Uncertainties in the Development of Predictions of Earthquakes.- Session 5 The Use of Scientific Information by the Media.- The Different Worlds of Science and Mass Communication: Implications for Information Flow from the Former to the Latter.- Effective Communication between the Scientific Community and the Media.- Ideas for a Global Model of Communication and IDNDR Potential.- Quantity of Reporting about Hazards: The Case of Naturally Occurring Radon.- Earthquake Prediction and Information to the Public — A Mexican Perspective.